MR. PRESIDENT, YOU DON'T KNOW HOW TO RUN A CAR COMPANY OR A DEALERSHIP NETWORK, STOP YOUR MEDDLING!



Mr. President, you said you would stand with America's auto dealers, so why is your automotive task force demanding drastic cuts in the number of dealers in this country?

Fewer dealers would mean another 150,000 jobs lost, instead of saved like you promised.

Fewer dealers would mean less convenience for consumers and LESS competition.

Fewer dealers would mean less revenue to automakers, the ones you are wanting to help.

Fewer dealers would mean that state a local governments will have million less in auto sales tax revenues, parts sales tax etc. Dealers also tend to be very active in local community clubs, charities, little league support, etc..

Cutting dealers at this time will do absolutely nothing to make GM or Chrysler more viable, NOTHING. That idea must come from WALL STREET (gurus) who have never owned a dealership.

MR. PRESIDENT WE URGE YOU TO CHOOSE MAIN STREET OVER WALL STREET.

John McEleney
Chairman, National Automobile Dealers Association and
President, McEleney Autocenter, Clinton, Iowa

Nearly 800 Chrysler dealers across the country got pink-slips today, unceremoniously delivered by United Parcel Service. In almost every state in the union, cities, small towns and remote hamlets, the auto company told 789 dealers, a number of whom have had dealerships in their families for generations, that they are out of the Chrysler business.

Usually, it is very difficult to terminate a dealer franchise agreement. But because Chrysler is operating in Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings, it is much easier—legally if not emotionally.

The cut adds up to 25% of Chrysler’s dealer network. Four million customers who have bought and serviced their cars at those dealerships are affected and are being contacted by mail.

The number of dealers Chrysler is cutting is more than Saturn or Lexus has in total. The automaker, which is in process of merging with Italian automaker Fiat, had a high of about 6,500 dealers in the mid 1960s. Before this cut, it had 3181.

Chrysler is trimming its dealer network to lower its own distribution costs, as well as make the remaining dealers more profitable. Perusing the list of dealers, a large number sell only Dodge Trucks, or have Jeep-only franchises that have been acquired and stuck on to showrooms that carry brands that compete against Chrysler on the whole.

Indeed, many dealers, especially in rural areas, have out-of-date facilities and a hodgepodge of brands, such as a Jeep showroom stuck in with Ford-Lincoln-Mercury, or GMC-Buick-Pontiac. Steven Landry, Chrysler’s executive vice president of sales, said that 345 of the targeted dealers, or 44 percent, are paired with a “competitive franchise that’s stronger than ours.”

Other cuts have been made in economically beleaguered areas like Las Vegas, Detroit, and Ft. Lauderdale, sapped by falling house prices and foreclosures. Dealerships being cut in Troy and Birmingham, Michigan, barely 15-minute drives from Chrysler’s headquarters in Auburn Hills, MI.

The reason for culling the dealer list is obvious—there’s a lot of inefficiency in the current system. Chrysler has said that 25 percent of its U.S. dealers account for half of the company’s sales.

AutoNation, the world’s largest auto retailer, is shutting seven Chrysler dealerships. Commenting on the consolidation plan, Mike Jackson, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, said, “We believe Chrysler’s consolidation plan is a difficult but positive step forward for Chrysler and the automotive retail industry. Dealer consolidation is a necessary measure in today’s automotive industry and will strengthen America’s dealer network and improve dealer profitability over the long term.”

A total of 658 of the rejected dealers, or 83 percent, already sell more used vehicles than new. But a dealer that loses its new-car business can get starved of new customers, as well as energy in the community. “You don’t make as much profit on new cars as you do on used or in the service department, but it’s kind of the blood flow through an operation,” says Earl Hesterberg, CEO of Group 1 Automotive, a company that owns numerous dealerships including some that sell Chryslers.

Local communities who are losing dealerships will clearly see a rise in unemployment. Sales tax is often cited as another area of loss, but this is actually not an overall risk. “Dealerships may be going away, but customers are not. In other words, when a dealership closes, its customer may buy a competitive product, or buy from another Chrysler dealership. The sales tax is still being paid. The risk for communities is that the tax may shift to a different town,” explained Edmunds.com CEO Jeremy Anwyl.

Another mistaken belief is that car companies will somehow save a significant amount of money by having fewer dealerships. In truth, there are only minor savings gained by cutting the regional staff required to serve a smaller dealer body.

The real motivation in cutting dealerships is to improve the profitability of the dealer. Stronger dealers can invest in better facilities and be generally more effective in their marketing. Indeed, Sageworks Inc. reports that profit per employee in privately owned dealerships has plummeted. As sales decreased so rapidly last year, profits decreased at an even faster rate. That’s due to the high fixed-cost environment that dealers operate in. Dealership profits fell from $4,985.57 per employee in 2007 to a scant $133.02 per employee in 2008. As a result, unprofitable dealerships began closing over the last year on their own. But Chrysler’s bankruptcy, and the possible bankruptcy of General Motors, is speeding that process.

GM is facing a May 30 deadline to square away a reorganization plan that will meet White House demands. If it cannot get bond holders to accept much less than they are owed, and union workers to accept big concessions, it also will reorganize under Chapter 11 and cut more than 2,000 dealers.


SOCIAL SECURITY AND MEDICARE WILL BE BROKE? WHAT A GOVERNMENT PROGRAM BROKE? NO SURPRISE THERE, EVERYBODY GETS A PAYMENT THAT'S WHY!



There is no surprise that another government program is broke. Every year we get the predictions, and no analysis just the financials. But let's examine what these programs which now cover about 50 million people really do.

One would think that the money is for retired folks, or those needing medical care when they retire, but of course since this is a government program guess what ? ALL TYPES OF NON-RETIRED folks can get payments from these programs. Even illegal aliens can get all types of payments.

So I wonder why it's going broke?

It may be doing better by buying some IBM or WAL-MART stock, but do you expect the government to actually think?

The financial outlook for Medicare and Social Security has significantly worsened, as the bad economy and mounting job losses have pushed both programs years closer to insolvency, according to a grim report issued Tuesday by the Obama administration.

The new projection, in an annual report from the programs’ trustees, says that Medicare’s hospital insurance trust fund will be exhausted in 2017, just a year after President Obama would leave office if re-elected to a second term. Last year the trustees said they expected the fund to last until 2019.

The trustees also said that Social Security’s reserves now face depletion in 2037, four years sooner than the previous projection of 2041. The projections assume that there are no changes in current benefits, policies and tax rates.

The two programs, which serve more than 50 million people, are caught in a difficult dynamic linked largely to the recession: Millions fewer people are working and paying the taxes that support the programs; yet health care costs are continuing to soar, millions of baby boomers have begun receiving Social Security retirement benefits, and Americans are living longer.

Medicare expenses are now expected to surpass Social Security’s in 2028.

The report comes a day after President Obama embraced a pledge from health-care providers to slow the increase in their costs over the coming decade. The new projections will add to the urgency of controlling those costs.

The Treasury secretary, Timothy F. Geithner, said in a statement on Tuesday that the new projections underscored the need for a bipartisan approach to shoring up the two programs, through what he said would be “difficult but achievable changes.”

“That is why even as this president has focused on pulling our nation out of economic recession, he has made clear his commitment to working in a bipartisan way to address the long-term health of Medicare and Social Security” and, he added, “not simply pass on our debts.”

The shorter deadline for Social Security insolvency does not mean that future retirees would receive nothing after that date.

The trustees noted that even when the Social Security trust fund is exhausted in 2037, tax revenues will presumably continue to come in. But benefits would be limited to the amount paid in that year, and would probably continue at only 75 percent of their promised level — 3 percentage points less than was projected in last year’s report.

The darker picture facing the two programs will complicate the president’s spending plans and policy ambitions; just Monday, the administration raised its estimate of the federal budget deficit this year to $1.84 trillion, the largest on record.

The House majority leader, Steny H. Hoyer of Maryland, called last week for a bipartisan effort to fix Social Security’s long-term finances. Other Democratic leaders have been loath to take up the politically difficult issue now.

But it is the looming shortfall in the Medicare hospital insurance trust fund that the report calls “an urgent concern.”

“Correcting the financial imbalance for the H.I. Trust Fund — even in the short-range alone — will require substantial changes to program income and/or expenditures,” it says.

Right, this will be a problem solved by our politicians!

The trustees project adequate funding for a separate Medicare trust fund that pays doctors’ bills and other outpatient expenses, known as Part B. But it cautions that about one-fourth of Part B enrollees face “unusually large” premium increases in the next two years.

The standard Part B premium has already increased by 64 percent in the last five years.

Just imagine what the costs will be in the future? How much will they take out of a paycheck ?

Currently there is an equal deduction for these benefits paid by the employee and then a same amount by the employer...so it is actually about 15% plus, how can a country support such a system, when at these confiscatory rates, it may have to increase to 25% in the future.

The best option is to privatize it, insure it and get the rates down to provide a real retirement benefit, not just unfunded future mandates that are NOT limited to retiree benefits.







WHAT EMPLOYMENT PROBLEMS? GOVERNMENT IS ON HIRING BINGE, AND THE PAY IS GREAT, AVERAGE IS NOW $75,000! ANNUALLY


It's A Good Time To Work For Uncle Sam

Posted by Declan McCullagh |


(AP Photo/Charles Dharapak)


President Obama's call last year for "shared sacrifice" doesn't extend to federal employees, at least based on the details of his administration's 2010 budget released this week.

At a time when the official unemployment rate is nearing double digits, and 6.35 million people are receiving unemployment benefits, the U.S. government is on a hiring binge.

Executive branch employment — 1.98 million in 2009, excluding the Postal Service and the Defense Department — is set to increase by 15.6 percent for the 2010 fiscal year. Most of that is thanks to the Census Bureau hiring 102,000 temporary workers, but not counting them still yields a net increase of 2 percent in one year.

There's little belt-tightening in evidence in Washington, D.C.: Counting benefits, the average pay per federal worker will leap from $72,800 in 2008 to $75,419 next year.

Meanwhile, according to Forbes' layoff tracker, there have been 558,087 layoffs since November 2008 at large public companies; even local school districts aren't immune. That's just a sliver of the total unemployed, which government data estimate to be 8.6 percent of the workforce, or an alternate method of reckoning that counts discouraged workers puts at 20 percent.

Some of the Feds' hiring increases have been stunning. If you look at the four-year period from 2006 to 2010, the number of Homeland Security employees has grown by 22 percent, the Justice Department has increased by 15 percent, and the Nuclear Regulatory Commission can claim 25 percent more employees. (These figures assume that Congress adopts Mr. Obama's 2010 budget without significant changes.)

A 39-page "dimensions" document accompanying the White House's 1,380-page appendix offers justifications for each new hire. Homeland Security says its new employees will "increase border security." The Agency for International Development wants to improve "the management and stewardship of foreign assistance programs." The Smithsonian Institution wants "additional security guards." And so on.

The final evidence that it's a good time to have a .gov e-mail address? Civilian government employees are set to enjoy a 2 percent raise. Not only are private sector workers are struggling to keep their jobs, but their earnings are stagnating and pay cuts are no longer uncommon.



CUTTING 2,600 GM DEALERS IS SUPPOSED TO HELP THE COMPANY-YEAH, RIGHT, HAVING LESS SALES OUTLETS ALWAYS HELPS TO SELL MORE! GM EXEC's DUMP THEIR STOCK



GM is hoping that its various strategic plans will either keep them out of bankruptcy though being able to obtain cost reductions, wage concessions, etc., or if not they will file sometime soon.

It could not be soon enough, please stop the torture. Everyone is waiting; customers who want to buy cars, dealers who want to know if they are cut, suppliers, creditors and we taxpayers funding them.

The most ridiculous plans are to close 2,600 of their dealers, out of their total of 6,246 dealers in their network among the various brands.

As we can recall, GM was the biggest auto manufacturer for a reason, it had more dealers than others, it could have a representative sales office just about anyplace you were located. You could walk into a showroom or have your car serviced close to your home.

Their thinking was that if they had less dealers, the individual dealerships would be more profitable. I don't get it? Is that not why we can now play them off against each other to get the best deal on a new car?

So now GM is adopting the GM (Government Motors) mentality-"you get what we got, if you do not want it where else are you going to go!" Nice business model.

Less competition, and therefore less choices.

They actually think this will work.

I am not a stock picker, but shrinking to profitabilty has always been a policy that rarely works.

Six General Motors executives disclosed Monday they sold almost $315,000 in stock and liquidated their remaining direct holdings in the struggling automaker.

In filings with U.S. securities regulators, the GM insiders led by former GM Vice Chairman and product chief Bob Lutz detailed stock sales on their behalf Friday and Monday during a trading window for such transactions.

Lutz, who is now an adviser to the automaker, sold $130,989 worth of GM stock at the closing price of $1.61 Friday.

That sale of the 81,360 shares cleared out all of Lutz's direct holdings of GM stock, according to his filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

The five other executives, including Lutz's successor, Thomas Stephens, GM North America President Troy Clarke, Chief Information Officer Ralph Szygenda and manufacturing chief Gary Cowger and head of European operations Carl-Peter Forster also sold all of their GM stock holdings, according to the filings.

GM auto dealership with sign.

GM [GM 1.19 -0.25 (-17.36%) ] is headed for either a bankruptcy filing or an out-of-court restructuring that would wipe out current stockholders by flooding the market with new shares to pay off creditors.

The automaker's stock could be either worthless in a bankruptcy or worth less than 2 cents per share if it proceeds with its plans to issue shares to creditors led by the U.S. Treasury, the company has said.

Insider trading restrictions have prevented GM's senior executives from selling stock holdings for most of this year as the automaker has scrambled to restructure under the oversight of the Obama administration's autos task force.

But after the filing of its quarterly report with the SEC last week, GM executive officers and directors were notified a "trading window" had opened Friday, spokeswoman Julie Gibson said.

The trading window remained open Monday and could be open for Tuesday as well, she added.

WHAT IF THE TREASURY HELD A BOND SALE AND NOBODY CAME? CAN IT HAPPEN?-NO, BUT THE BOND YIELDS GO UP AND UP!-HOW TO BUY BONDS....?








The new administration being relatively new to actual real world financing, has gotten its first hint of the trouble yet to come through a yield upward POP at the latest bond sale of 30 year bonds.

The government has to sell a lot of bonds, to finance its cash needs (deficit financing).

These sales are made to provide the long term funding for the government. There is only one catch, investors have to buy them. These buyers may include those investors who were shafted by the government into accepting an unfair deal on their Chrysler secured debt for instance, or had to forgive the debt; thus they had no money to buy the bonds.

Other buyers who have money, wanted to get a better interest rate on them, if they were to park their money for 30 years, and why not that's a long time to get a paltry return.

What happened today was that the yield went up, thus causing the price to go down. This is always the case, when yields go up the bond price goes down. So, somebody holding these bonds for the entire 30 years (a crazy person for instance) would see the interest rate remaining the same on his original investment, but the sale price of the bonds would decline substantially if the rate goes up to say 7%.

It may thus be a bad idea to buy the bods right now, not if their price continues to decline. In fact, why buy them at all?

The bonds will always be sold, because the free market will adjust to a higher yield for instance, to make them an attractive buy for investors. The bigger question is how many investors are there still willing to buy them.

I seem to recall that Russia, China and Japan, who are our largest holders of government bonds and notes stated that they will have little interest in buying more in the future. What then?, what happens if nobody wants to buy any?
reasury 30-year bonds fell the most in about four months as investors demanded higher-than-forecast yields at today’s auction of $14 billion of the securities with the U.S. slated to sell a record amount of debt this year.

“This is a problem,” said Chris Ahrens, head interest- rate strategist at UBS Securities LLC in Stamford, Connecticut, one of 16 primary dealers required to bid in Treasury auctions. “The market required a fairly significant discount to buy the bonds.”

Yields on the securities climbed to a six-month high as the bond auction drew a yield of 4.288 percent, higher than the average forecast in a Bloomberg News survey of seven bond- trading firms for a yield of 4.192 percent. Demand was below average, judging by total bids.

The benchmark 30-year bond yield climbed 16 basis points, or 0.16 percentage point, to 4.26 percent at 1:22 p.m. in New York, according to BGCantor Market data. The 3.5 percent security due in February 2039 dropped 2 18/32, or $25.63 per $1,000 face amount, to 87 10/32. The 10-year note yield increased nine basis points to 3.28 percent.

The auction’s so-called bid-to-cover ratio, which gauges demand by comparing total bids with the amount of securities offered, was 2.14, compared with an average of 2.24 at the past 10 sales of the maturity. Thirty-year bonds yielded 3.64 percent at the last sale, on March 12.

Today’s auction began the Treasury’s monthly sales of the so-called long bond, up from quarterly offerings at the end of last year. That means the government will boost sales of the security from $35 billion in 2008 to $120 billion this year, according to Michael Pond, an interest-rate strategist in New York at Barclays Capital Inc., one of the 16 primary dealers that trade with the central bank and are required to participate in Treasury auctions.

‘More Attractive’

The yield on the benchmark 30-year bond reached 4.2820 percent, the most since Nov. 14, while the 10-year yield touched 3.3005 percent, the highest since Nov. 25.

“Treasuries are getting more attractive here,” said Gary Pollack, who helps oversee $12 billion as head of fixed-income trading at Deutsche Bank AG’s Private Wealth Management unit in New York. If 10-year note yields rose to 3.3750 percent, it would be “a good entry point for a short-term trade,” he said.

Our government may have a free market lesson in finance soon.

Basics of Treasury Bonds & Securities Explained

Posted By Jim On Monday - 01/26 @ 7:34 am In Investing | 12 Comments

Between the various bailouts, rescues, and spending packages, the United States Treasury has been working overtime issuing debt. If you’re like me, you’re probably wondering how this is even possible and how the government goes about doing it. During the First World War and World War Two, we went through a similar period where the government needed to borrow a lot of money to help fund the war effort. That gave rise to the patriotic posters that called for ordinary Americans to buy war bonds to support our soldiers fighting the enemy on foreign soil. That same mechanism, public debt, is what we use today to help fund many of our programs. This makes it a prime topic for the third installment of the Foundation Series [1].

GREAT NEWS, ONLY 600,000 FILED FOR JOBLESS BENEFITS! IS THERE REALLY A TREND HERE TO BE HAPPY ABOUT?



We want improvement in the economy, no doubt about it, but are there really hopeful signs or just wishful thinking on the part of "select" economic forecasters? Have you ever wondered why these forecasters who are quoted, often have NO names?

I am not an economist or a forecaster, but I play one in this blog. I am also an employer, who sees absolutely no "signs" of improvement in the overall business climate.

Sure there will be companies or business segments that will do well or even improve, at least on a seasonal basis. For instance last weekend I was at the local gigantic mega lumber and garden center. It was packed, and I had to fight over the petunias and daffodils with other early planters.

This company even hired the "seasonal" employees to help water the plants and to shrug their shoulders when asked about where the bark chips were.

This folks is the seasonal blip we will see. The long term unemployed become seasonally employed at the minimum wage for a short time period. The seasonal uptick is natural for retailers of garden products for instance, and there will be a pick up of the home improvement projects.

However, the contractors who were there were not all jumping for joy. I asked a guy loading his van (he had a carpentry and home remodeling business-that's what is said on the side of the van) what business was like this year for him.

"Hell it seems every laid of "ahole" is now a handy man and I have to cut my rates on every job just to keep working, I am now basically breaking even," he replied.

There were other contractors there picking up products, and judging by the scowls on their faces, I decided not to continue my informal survey.

The store itself had every possible banner out: SALE, FREE DELIVERY, FREE FINANCING, BUY NOW PAY IN 12 MONTHS NO INTEREST, FREE PLANTS, ONE PRICE CARPET INSTALLATION, FREE INSTALLATION SEE ASSOCIATE FOR DETAILS, 50% OFF SELECT WASHER/DRYER,, etc.....

No wonder business picked up, we all want a bargain, and that is the bottom line right now.

Since we could all be part of the unemployed, we are all watching our spending.

I talked to a friend in the men's clothing business, who said that his business of off about 30% so far this year and that the summer only gets worse due to seasonal variation. It normally [picks up again in the fall and of course by Christmas, but he does not feel that there will be a pick up sufficient to increase the revenues for this year. His salesmen are on comission and some have quit, since they can not make enough.

New applications for U.S. jobless benefits plunged to the lowest level in 14 weeks, a possible sign that the massive wave of layoffs has peaked. Still, the number of unemployed Americans getting benefits climbed to a new record.

The Labor Department reported Thursday that the number newly laid off workers applying for benefits dropped to 601,000 last week. That was far better than the rise to 635,000 claims that economists expected.

But the total number of people receiving jobless benefits climbed to 6.35 million, a 14th straight record.

The four-week moving average of initial jobless claims, which smooths out volatility, totaled 623,500 last week, a decrease of more than 30,000 from the high in early April. Goldman Sachs economists have said a decline of 30,000 to 40,000 in the four-week average is needed to signal a peak.

In a separate report, the government said that productivity, the key ingredient to rising living standards, grew at a 0.8 percent annual rate in the January-March quarter, slightly better than the 0.6 percent increase that economists had expected. Wage pressures, as measured by unit labor costs, increased at a 3.3 percent rate, down from a 5.7 percent spike in the fourth quarter.

While wage pressures outpacing productivity normally would raise alarm bells about inflation, the threat of any price spikes is seen as remote. Regulators and economists are not worried about inflation since many workers are more concerned about keeping their jobs in the recession than demanding higher wages.

Even with the big drop in new applications for jobless benefits last week, the claims remained at elevated levels. By comparison, weekly jobless claims totaled 372,00 a year ago.

But since peaking at 674,000 in late March, claims have been trending lower, raising hopes that the huge wave of layoffs that have rocked the country could be easing a bit.

Even if the recent declines signal that layoffs have peaked, economists do not expect them to return to pre-recession levels anytime soon. They expect the jobless rate will keep rising through the rest of this year even if their forecasts for an end to the recession in the second half of 2009 are accurate.

The government is scheduled to release unemployment data for April on Friday. Analysts expect the jobless rate will climb to 8.9 percent from the current 25-year high of 8.5 percent. Many analysts expect the jobless rate will hit 10 percent by the end of this year.

The rise in continuing claims to 6.35 million was registered for the week ending April 25, the latest data available. That was up from 6.30 million in the previous week and marked the highest tally on records dating to 1967.

The high level of continuing claims is a sign that many laid-off workers are having difficulty finding work.

More than 5 million jobs have vanished in the recession, and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke on Tuesday predicted "further sizable job losses" in the coming months.

Among the states, Michigan saw the largest increase in claims with 9,998 more for the week ending April 25, which it attributed to more layoffs in the automobile industry, according to the Labor Department.

California saw the largest drop in claims with 10,833, which it said was due to fewer layoffs in the construction and service industries.

More companies recently announced job cuts. General Motors Corp. laid out a restructuring plan that includes cutting 21,000 U.S. factory jobs by next year. Microsoft Corp. said it was starting thousands of the 5,000 job cuts it announced in earlier this year and left the door open to even more layoffs. Chip maker Atmel Corp. last week said it would lay off 300 people, or 5 percent of its work force.

To some economists and forecasters this is GOOD news.


GM, PLEASE FILE FOR REORGANIZATION AND STOP BURNING THROUGH OUR MONEY, PLEASE! NOTE TO GOVERNMENT, BUY SOME OTHER STOCK INSTEAD, NOT GM STOCK FOR ME!



GENERAL MOTORS is burning through OUR money, it announced today. Nice going GM, it burned through $10 BILLION or so, out of the $15 BILLION it received.

Now over the years I have done my part in helping GM by buying their cars, practically resisting buying "foreign" cars, even those made in the USA by the "foreign" companies employing thousands of Americans right here in the good ole USA. I wanted to help American companies.

Let's see if I can remember my list of GM cars over the years ( I have also bought my share of other American cars too, including Fords, Lincolns, Chryslers, Mercurys and Dodge): 6 Cadillacs of every type (one of them a stretch limo bought from the dealer who used it as a model car with 100 miles on it even though it was 3 years old at the time), 5 Pontiacs, 1 Chevy G20 Conversion Van with custom captain chairs ( when those were the rage) and even 1 Chevy Vega purchased for my mom (remember those cars?). There may have been another one somewhere but I just can't remember it.

So I have done my part, what else could I do personally for GM.

I stopped buying GM cars after the local dealership shafted me on servicing my Van, and I never went back for any GM automobile. Writing a complaint letter to the factory, I received no reply, so I was finished with GM. I thought that after all that money I spent, it would be nice if they sent me a $10 off coupon for an oil change for instance, but no, GM could care less that I bought no less than 13 cars from them; I deserved nothing for that loyalty.

So I became loyal no more.

Could this be the story of other GM customers? Probably not, I'm sure that nobody else ever had my similar experience with GM, that's why they are now so popular, NOT!

Now GM is getting the shaft from the government, from its customers and from the stock market, that it deserves. Like every business, it has management to blame, and nobody else, and it needs to sink or swim within the marketplace, not being propped up by my TAX money.

So why is it that I/WE have to bail out this company, with our TAX money? Why?

There are over 1,500 different car models to choose, most of which are not being made with my tax money.

PLEASE GM, STOP BURNING THOUGH MY MONEY AND FILE FOR THE REORGANIZATION so that the pain of paying $75/hour for your employee costs is not MY PROBLEM!

ALSO, PLEASE DO NOT LET THE GOVERNMENT START MAKING GM CARS (GOVERNMENT MOTORS)..PLEASE SAVE US.

General Motors Corp said it burned through $10.2 billion in the first quarter as it failed to cut costs fast enough to offset a sharp decline in global sales and was kept afloat by a federal bailout.

Revenue dropped by almost half to $22.4 billion as the company cut production by about 900,000 vehicles and tried to run down costly inventories on dealer lots in the United States and Europe.

Chief Financial Officer Ray Young said there was evidence consumers were scared away from GM cars and trucks because of concern the automaker was headed for bankruptcy.

"You could not offset the revenue implosion that we experienced here," Young told reporters following release of the quarterly results on Thursday.

He said GM still hoped to complete a debt restructuring out of court but was ready for bankruptcy if that proved necessary. He said GM was pressing ahead with contingency plans for a quick bankruptcy process, drawing on the experience of Chrysler LLC, which filed for bankruptcy last week.

"We are very very cognizant of this issue of revenue perishability and how consumers react to the threat of bankruptcy," Young said.

"So that's from our perspective the importance of avoiding bankruptcy at all costs. But if we have to go through a bankruptcy, the importance of doing it quickly -- get in and out very very quickly -- in order to alleviate the concerns of consumers," he said.

Young said GM would make a decision at the end of this month on whether an offer to extinguish $24 billion in bond debt in exchange for new shares had garnered enough support for the company to avoid a bankruptcy filing.

GM lost market share in the quarter as its global sales fell 28 percent, compared with an industry wide decline of 21 percent.

DEADLINE LOOMS

GM posted a first-quarter net loss of $6 billion, compared with a loss of $3.3 billion a year earlier.

Excluding $73 million of one-time net charges, it lost $9.66 per share. That was within the wide range of analysts' expectations.

GM is facing a government-imposed June 1 deadline to reach agreements to overhaul its operations and cut more than $40 billion in debt. To date, the company has taken $15.4 billion in emergency loans from the U.S. Treasury.

The first quarter was also marked by GM's failure to win federal backing for a turnaround plan that the U.S. autos task force concluded was too slow-moving to succeed.

The Obama administration ousted Rick Wagoner as GM chief executive at the end of the quarter.

Creditors have been looking beyond GM's results, focusing instead on whether it succeeds in winning debt concessions from its bondholders and the United Auto Workers union.

The automaker said on Thursday that it had not yet reached the deal it needs with the UAW.

It also said the Treasury had not yet agreed to convert half of the loans it has extended to GM into stock in a restructured company, as the automaker has proposed.

Young said GM was back in talks with union representatives this week and was ready to negotiate around the clock to reach a settlement.

The UAW faces pressure to accept GM stock in exchange for about $10 billion the union is owed for a trust fund for retiree health care. That would give the union a 39 percent stake in the restructured company. That's nice, they get to own the company stock now as probably its biggest stockholder. What will those wage negotiation be like now?

Under the restructuring plan GM detailed last month, the government would own a majority stake, effectively nationalizing the 100-year-old Detroit-based automaker.

Hello, big brother, I do not want to buy GM stock, why are you buying it for me, NO, NO!

GM shares rose to $1.72 in pre-market trading, up from a close at $1.66 on Wednesday.

How much is the government buying MY stock for?

Please buy some Microsoft, or Apple or maybe Toyota instead?



STRESS TESTS, ARE THEY REALLY , OR ARE THEY STRESS REDUCERS FOR THE TAXPAYERS?



It is sure stressful when looking at a headline one discovers that the bank with all my savings and other accounts is STRESSED, and that it "only" needs $34 billion to be "ok."

There was good news too, the original commitment of TARP funds was $45 billion, so this is "good." This proves that the management did well, they only will blow $34 billion of our tax money, instead of the $45 billion that was budgeted for them to blow.

Earlier this week, The Financial Times reported Bank of America needed to raise about $10 billion as a result of the stress tests. The FT's report was "completely inaccurate," a bank spokesman told Reuters.

Turns out the spokesman was technically right, as suggested here: The FT dramatically underestimated BofA's capital needs, which are closer to $34 billion, according to The New York Times. Notably, The NYT quoted BofA chief administrative officer J. Steele Alphin, who confirmed the figure.

Now, $34 billion (technically $33.9 billion) is a lot of money and a lot more than $10 billion. But this is being spun as a "good news" story for Bank of America and embattled CEO Ken Lewis because $33.9 billion is less than the $45 billion on TARP funds the government has pledged to the bank.

As a result, the bank "could satisfy regulators' demands simply by converting non-voting preferred shares it gave the government in return for the capital, into common stock," as The NYT reports.

Of course, it's not so simple. Remember, the idea here is to increase bank's tangible common equity, a key ratio of a banks health, not put actual dollars into the bank and/or force it to write-down its toxic loans. Also, the government converting its preferred shares has major ramifications, including:

  • It would make the government one of BofA's largest shareholders.
  • Taxpayers would lose the dividend and seniority rights granted by the preferred shares, and be at more direct risk of loss if BofA (inevitably) suffers additional losses and needs to raise yet more capital.
  • Existing shareholders would suffer further dilution, depending on the conversion ratio used. (Of course, the government's recent history with Citigroup - which, oh by the way needs $50 billion to $55 billion in additional capital -- suggests the conversion rate will be very favorable to the bank and current shareholders, which may explain why BofA shares rebounded from steep pre-market declines and were recently up more than 7.5%.)

If this all sounds like something out of Superman's Bizarro world, well...it is! But wait, there's more.

Since the capital BofA needs is less than the government's pledge, the bank would be left with an $11 billion "surplus" that it would seek to use to pay back its TARP loans.

So in sum, in all makes perfect sense: the government will use the TARP to help the bank repay its TARP loans. Peter, meet Paul. Paul, meet Peter.

20 MILLION HOMES ARE WORTH LESS THAN THEIR MORTGAGE LOANS (SO WHAT!); NOT A GOOD TIME TO SELL, BUT IT IS OK TO HOLD



More than 20% of American homeowners owe more on their mortgage debt than they can sell their homes for, according to an industry report released Wednesday. However, from a practical standpoint, SO WHAT!

Just like when you buy a car and its value is usually below the amount you owe, it does not mean anything, since it is your home and you are living in it. You will keep it and keep living in it, and it will at some point in the future start to increase in value.

The real estate Web site Zillow.com reported that 21.8% of all U.S. homes, representing more than 20 million residences, were in a "negative equity" or "underwater" position after prices dropped more than 14% nationally in the year ended March 31.

"A combination of falling prices and low down payments has left many borrowers underwater," said Stan Humphries, Zillow's vice president in charge of data and analytics. "In some markets, more than half of all homes are in negative equity."

Those markets include Las Vegas, where a whopping 67.2% of homeowners would have to bring cash to the table if they sold their homes. Other markets are Stockton, Calif., where 51.1% of homes are underwater, and Modesto, Calif., where 50.8% of homes are in that position.

"That's really important, because homeowners in negative equity have fewer options if they take financial shocks such as divorce, job loss or medical bills, making foreclosure more likely," said Humphries.

Zillow.com based its estimate of negative equity using its own home price estimates. It obtains these by collecting sales records and applying the price trends it finds to other homes in the community. It then compares its home price estimates to the initial loan balances to determine if borrowers have fallen underwater.

The analysis is based on the mortgage balance at the time of purchase and the price changes that have occurred since. It does not take into account that some homeowners may have paid down principal along the way.

Humphries believes it's a conservative approach because the trend has been for people to strip value from their homes in the form of home equity loans and lines of credit, than to add value by paying down their mortgages.

"I think our number is either right on or negative equity may be even a little worse," he said.

Some dispute: Not all industry insiders back these findings.

"Zillow's negative equity estimates strike me as a little high," said Richard DeKaser, a real sate analyst and founder of Woodley Park Research in Washington D.C. He pointed out that other estimates of negative equity from Moody's Economy.com, for example, and First American (FAF, Fortune 500) CoreLogic, have not been that elevated.

The last CoreLogic report was for data through the end of 2008 and it estimated that 8.3 million homes were underwater.

Moody's Economy.com chief economist Mark Zandi estimated that 14.8 million were underwater at the end of March.

Foreclosure risk: Underwater homeowners are much more likely to lose their homes to foreclosure than borrowers with value remaining. That negative equity contributes to foreclosures is supported by Zillow's statistics on foreclosure sales.

In Los Angeles, 20.3% of owners are underwater and foreclosures accounted for 34% of all sales. In the New York metropolitan area, by contrast, only 7.8% of homeowners are underwater and a mere 4.5% of all home sales during the past 12 months were foreclosures.

Negative equity makes it harder for housing markets to revive.

"It puts increased downward pressure on housing prices as defaults increase and add supply to markets," said DeKaser.

It also makes homes more difficult to sell. Underwater owners either have to bring cash to the table in order to pay off the balances of their debts not covered by the sale prices of their homes, or they have to get their lenders to agree to "short sales," for less than what they owe, and have their lenders forgive the unpaid debts.

The problem may be easing a bit. Zillow did report that price drops seem to be moderating in some hard-hit cites, indicating that they might be approaching a bottom, according to Humphries.

"Places like Modesto, Calif. have recorded a couple of quarters of flat or diminishing year-over-year declines," he said. "That's what constitutes the good news in this report." To top of page

LET'S NOW TAX EARNINGS IN FOREIGN COUNTRIES-TAX TREATIES NOW CALLED LOOP-HOLES BY NEW ADMINISTRATION




The new administration now wants to usurp tax treaties with the worlds industrial countries as well as all others, by taxing the earnings in those foreign countries as if they were to be US earnings.

It would stand to reason, that all the other countries with such treaties would then tax the US earnings of their multi-national companies, and so a whopping tax increase for all multi-national corporations, both in the US and abroad.

Under most tax treaties, the profits earned in a foreign country are taxed BY THAT COUNTRY. Sounds fair, does it not?

Those profits are NOT taxed in the USA, since they are not earned in the USA. However, when those profits are brought to the USA, they are taxed at the USA rates with a credit for the taxes paid offshore.

Now the administration has called this "tax loopholes" and "tax havens" instead of LAWFUL compliance.

Nuts, have these guys even read or learned what a TAX TREATY is, and why it exists?

Probably not, just great words to make it seem like the multi-national corporations are not following the law, that they are cheating the tax man.....NOT TRUE, not even close.

What often happens is that a USA based multi national corporation may actually make more profits in the foreign countries, thus helping to support losing operations domestically. Without those profits overseas, the domestic operations may be closed.

So, will this big talk of tax avoidance help employment here?

No.

Another great plan by the government to cut employment in the USA, based on the principle of unintended consequences.

Also, the total; disregard of the tax treaties is just adding to the administration's total disregard of the NAFTA treaty as well which has already caused a backlash due to the USA's unilateral disregard.

SHAFTING THE SECURED CREDITORS-NEW GOVERNMENT STRATEGY WORTHY OF BIG AL




You can call the plan to merge Chrysler and Fiat good for the economy. You can think it creative.

You can say it’s the start of “a vibrant new company,” as Chrysler LLC Chairman Robert Nardelli did last week.

But there’s one word that you can’t call the Chrysler bankruptcy package: legal.

The plan would overturn basic rules of bankruptcy by setting up a sort-of sale to sidestep pesky legal requirements. It would bulldoze well-established rights of secured creditors, property rights the U.S. Constitution guarantees.

So if U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Arthur Gonzalez follows the law, the Chrysler rescue plan dies. If he blinks and approves it, secured creditors everywhere should feel a shiver of unease, and quick sales of insolvent companies to avoid court scrutiny would multiply.

The other option is a settlement, and that might well be where this is headed.

I hate to say it, but the dissident Chrysler lenders are right, the ones President Barack Obama described as greedy hedge funds selfishly blocking Chrysler’s survival.

The president’s fist-waving looks a lot like the posturing lawyers use to scare an adversary into surrender, never mind the law. In fact, several are giving up the cause.

At the heart of the plan, and at the heart of the plan’s problem, is the idea that Chrysler would sell itself quickly rather than go through months or years of court-supervised reorganization, within 60 Days.

Called a 363 sale for the relevant section of the bankruptcy code, it can close within 60 days and unload all or part of the company. The sale to Barclays of a piece of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. took about a day.

A 363 sale is perfectly legal when a sound business reason demands it and when it isn’t reorganization in disguise.

But if it’s aimed at resolving creditors’ claims, that is what reorganization is for. Bankruptcy reorganization promises secured creditors at least the same payout they would get if the company liquidated, and Chrysler’s proposed sale looks like a way around that.

Figuring what creditors have coming to them requires lots of paperwork and hearings. That’s why it takes so long.

Drawn-Out Bankruptcy

And that is what Chrysler is trying to avoid. In fact, it must avoid a long, drawn-out bankruptcy if it is to survive.

But with a 363 sale, there is no chance to figure the value of Chrysler’s assets if sold piecemeal, much less what each creditor should get.

The secured creditors who are complaining about this helped save Chrysler the last time it almost went under, in 2007 after the marriage to Daimler AG soured. How much of a haircut should they be forced to take?

The dissidents say the sale is nothing more than what bankruptcy law calls a sub rosa reorganization, a secret reordering dressed up to look like a sale, which the law forbids.

Plus, would it even be a true sale?

In public statements Chrysler says a United Auto Workers health benefits trust would get 55 percent of the shares of New Chrysler and a $4.6 billion note to satisfy some of the group’s unsecured claims against the company.

Paying nothing but offering its fuel-efficiency expertise, Fiat SpA would own 20 percent initially and could increase its stake by another 15 percent. The U.S. and Canadian governments, which are providing billions in interim financing, would own the rest.

Phony Sale

Chrysler is essentially selling itself to itself, says Lynn LoPucki, a law professor at the University of California, Los Angeles. He teaches secured transactions and maintains a database of major bankruptcies.

So, if the “sale” isn’t a true sale, and if it dictates payout to secured creditors, isn’t that a sub rosa reorganization?

If it favors junior creditors over senior creditors, doesn’t it violate the very basics of bankruptcy law? Senior creditors can volunteer to give up some of what’s due them but they can’t be forced to by a bankruptcy court.

“Those are property rights, and they are protected by the Constitution,” says Daniel Glosband, a partner in Boston’s Goodwin Procter. “You can’t just take them away.”

And yet, it could happen.

‘Enormous Momentum’

“There’s an enormous momentum in favor of the government plan,” says Jay Westbrook, who teaches bankruptcy law at the University of Texas.

It’s naïve to assume bankruptcy judges feel compelled to follow the law, says LoPucki.

He argues that bankruptcy courts across the country compete for the big cases by giving lawyers for major companies what they want.

“According to the law, this plan should not be approved,” LoPucki says.

Yet he predicts Gonzalez will do it anyway to persuade other companies (General Motors Corp. comes to mind) to pick Manhattan’s bankruptcy court over, say Detroit’s.

Already the Chrysler case is one for the books. You have the federal government sending a company into bankruptcy court, financing its reorganization, deciding who will get what, setting a strict timetable and urging a judge to blink at the law.

If the argument that Chrysler’s welfare is so critical to the national interest that longstanding laws can be ignored, what’s next?

Some future president will find a way to justify blatantly illegal conduct. Such as torture.

Ann Woolner is a columnist. The opinions expressed are her own.

Chrysler LLC wants to eliminate 789 of its U.S. 3,200 dealerships, saying in a bankruptcy court filing Thursday that the network is antiquated and has too many stores competing with each other.

The company, in a motion filed with the U.S. Bankruptcy Court in New York, said many of the dealers' sales are too low. Just over 50 percent of the dealers account for about 90 percent of the company's U.S. sales, the motion said.

The move, which the dealers can appeal, is likely to cause devastating affects in cities and towns across the country as thousands of jobs are lost and taxes are not paid.

Chrysler spokeswoman Kathy Graham would not comment other than to say the company will notify dealers before speaking publicly.

Chrysler dealerships aren't the only ones scheduled to get bad news this week. General Motors Corp. says it is notifying 1,100 dealers that it will not renew their franchise agreements when they expire at the end of September of 2010.

In its motion, Chrysler said it has many dealerships that sell one or two of its brands, with Chrysler-Jeep dealerships competing against Dodge dealers as well as other automakers' stores across the country.

"In addition, as suburbs grew and the modern interstate system continued to evolve, longstanding dealerships no longer were in the best or growing locations," the company said in its filing. "Many rural locations also served a diminishing population of potential consumers. Some dealership facilities became outdated. Other locations faced declining traffic count and declining populations."

Chrysler has received $4 billion in federal loans and has been operating in bankruptcy protection since April 30. Its sales this year are down 46 percent compared with the first four months of last year and it reported a $16.8 billion net loss for 2008.


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IS IT REALLY GGOD NEWS, OR JUST WISHFUL THINKING; BAN BERNANKE AND HIS CRYSTAL BALL


The Fed Chairman, Ben Bernanke looked into his crystal ball again and predicted that the US will miraculously start to change its downward spiraling economy by the end of 2009.

That miracle prediction must have come to him in a dream perhaps, sort of like the TV show, MEDIUM, where he dreams an event and it come true. And now another prediction from the one, the only, Ben Bernanke. Let's all just sit quietly while the GREAT BEN sees directly into the future while laying on his couch.

Oh, it is now becoming clearer, Ben is now about to predict an occurrence that has never happened before in the history of the world....but it is so, Ben said so, and he smiled too!

It must happen, it will happen; all will be just great by the end of 2009!

Now that we heard the dream, let's analyze the reality, by studying the results of polls of purchasing agents, retail sellers, hiring officers and of course the SAGE OF OMAHA, Warren Buffet, a former adviser to the administration.

These front time people do not agree with the FED Chairman as they see a continuation of sluggish sales, sluggish hiring and sluggish inventory and raw material purchasing.

So how can these predictions be so different, after looking at the same data?

The answer is the new economic model called "WISHFUL THINKING."

Simply put, just keep saying it and it will happen-it is that simple.

So, just keep saying: "I will hire more people, even though I do not need any more; I will buy more supplies and inventories, even though the bank has not given me more credit to so so with; I will buy a new house even though I do not have the down payment, etc.

What, you say, those are contradictory terms?

Now you understand, how opinions are just that, opinions. But coming from the FED Chairman, one would hope that there was more than just an opinion, but something based on real facts.

START YOUR OWN CHINA-EUROPE SHIPPING BUSINESS; $300 SHIPPING FEES NOW FROM CHINA TO EUROPE!



There are advantages to the recession, and the overcapacity that now exists in the container shipping business from China to Europe, as well as the between China and the USA.

This is a great time to start to specialize in shipping, as the rates for shipping a 20 foot container from China to Europe has gotten to be as low as $300 (plus various fuel and transit fees), which compares to $3,000 a year ago.

The rates for the USA have also dropped about 80%-90%, so this is great time for developing the import business.

Another reason for the drop in shipping fees is that the MEGA ships which carry the containers can now accommodate up to 13,800 containers on one ship. Several shipping lines have on order ships which can carry 22,000 containers!

Shipping brokers estimate that rates will remain for low for at least the next 2-3 years due to this tremendous capacity, and the slow down in shipping.

CHRYSLER AND FIAT-DYNAMIC DUO TO FORGET, AND WHAT ABOUT THE SHAFTED PARTS SUPPLIER NETWORK?





The deal so pushed by the government as the end all be all, a Chrysler-Fiat venture, is bound to be a DUD, with a capital D.

Did anyone notice that FIAT, aka FLAT, made cars that nobody wanted to buy in America. That is why that brand is not sold here-FIAT made funny cars in which it was hard to figure out which end was the front and which was the back, and it had a bad reputation of always having something not working just right.

I personally never owned an Italian FIAT, but I owned an Italian airplane, the fabulous Waco Vela, which always needed some part. The last part it needed was mandated by the FAA, otherwise it was not allowed to fly, a landing gear part that could pulverize on landing.

I placed the order with the Italian factory, and after about a year I received it; enough said.

Remember those little cars more suited for European drivers used to driving with their knees in their chin? Oh, and do you remember the rust that would engulf the cars after just a few years.

I am not talking about exotics, just the ones that regular people might buy.

For the same amount as the government is now spending to keep this dead DUD alive, it could have built a new robotic factory in Tennesee or Alabama, or Texas, and have billions left to spare, however, that may not include a union pension plan, or outrageous wages as well, so it was dead on arrival.

Now that the wise men ( aka WISEGUYS) from the government are running Chrysler, the first order of business after getting billions in cash, was to SHUT DOWN ALL THE PLANTS THROUGHOUT THE COUNTRY FOR AN INDEFINITE PERIOD OF TIME.

That move is so stupid, it can not be adequately described with a sufficient number of *@%&!!! symbols. All the assembly plants will close, and they will start up again....whenever the company exits its Chapter 11 process.

Did someone forget that Chrysler does not actually really make cars, it just assembles them from the parts and pieces that are sent to its "assembly plants" by all kind of little and big REAL manufacturers.

What are these REAL manufacturers to do while Chrysler goes into a type of financial hibernation? Will these often crucial suppliers just wake up too when it comes back to life?

Don't count on it.

In the real world of manufacturing, these other independent businesses need to have a steady stream of revenues to in turn pay their employees, and to STAY IN BUSINESS.

What if when Chrysler says to them "I'm back start shipping me those door handles and oil dipsticks and ashtray covers", nobody answers the phone because these manufacturers are out of business. This may have been a little detail all the new guys running the business may have forgotten, Chrysler really does not REALLY build any cars, the suppliers do, and they can not all just hibernate too, and spring to life when needed.

In a free market this deal would never happen on the announced terms, it would happen as it should though a real reorganization, and Chrysler may have been able to emerge as a competitive business.

Don't buy the stock too soon, until you see what this car line will look like.

HOW MUCH CAN YOU FINANCE ON A $1 HOME FORECLOSURE AND ACTUALLY MAKE IT LIVABLE?




There are so many rescue and bailout plans for foreclosed homeowners, but the foreclosed homes, when the foreclosure does go though to its ultimate end, resulting in a sheriff's sale, often (38% of the time) is too damaged to qualify for mortgage financing of any type for a new buyer who will needs funds to fix it first.

When this occurs, the property simply sits, vacant, abandoned and an eye sore, often vandalized for its copper plumbing, cabinetry or any other fixtures that can be stolen and resold.

So in effect, about 1,216,000 homes will sit as abandoned eye sores.

So much for the usual government help.

The issue is how much of the financing for such a home can include some added funds to fix the home, making it salable and habitable?

The government programs do not provide for that, and in fact they would discourage any such project financing, since the standard method of obtaining financing is by having the home APPRAISED as to its lendable value.

What do you tink will be the value of a stripped and damaged home to be submitted by the appraiser for financing? How about literally nothing, or a token $1.

How much home financing can one get on an appraisal of $1????

Do you see the point now? We need a different level of appraisals to clear out the glut of abandoned homes which can be fixed up and purchased for a reasonable amount.

Is there nobody out there to figure this out?
 
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